Alternative Energy Options for India— A Multi-criteria Decision Analysis to Rank Energy Alternatives using Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Logic with an Emphasis to Distributed Generation
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.3222Keywords:
Renewable energy, sustainability, multi-criteria, decentralized, fuzzy sets, electrificationAbstract
Several studies have been performed in last many years as to
which type of energy source would be suitable for extending energy
access for remote rural areas. Energy planning using multi-criteria
analysis has attracted the attention of decision makers for a long time.
Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) techniques are attractive in
problems having multiple and conflicting objectives. This article develops a methodological framework providing insights to suitability
of multi-criteria techniques in the context of operation energy alternatives namely Central Grid/Grid Extension, Solar Home Systems and
Microgrids in India. The model was built using the Analytic Hierarchy
Process (AHP) with empirical data from various sources. Several parameters like generation cost, price, losses, reliability, capacity, availability, and constraints (geological/local) were investigated. Based
on the scheme developed by Saaty—the AHP and Fuzzy Sets using
MATLAB these multi-criteria are evaluated and compared. The analysis were carried out under two scenarios namely—environment and
cost. Finally alternatives for energy generation were ranked based on
the AHP and Fuzzy logic. The results indicate that MICROGRID is the
ideal choice among the alternatives for energy generation in a decentralised way and is a possible solution for eliminating energy poverty.
Downloads
References
TERI -The energy report– India, 100% renewable energy by 2050, A report by WWFIndia and The Energy and Resources Institute 2013
REN 21 Global Status Report 2014: http://www.ren21.net/Portals/0/documents/
Resources/GSR/2014/GSR2014_full%20report_low%20res.pdf
AU -Akshay Urja—Feb 2014 13, monthly Magazine published by—MNRE, New
Delhi, India. www.mnre.in
GREEN-2014—India Renewable Energy Status Report—Global Renewable Energy
Summit, June 2014, FKCCI, Bangalore, India
Garg P., Energy Scenario and Vision 2020 in India, Journal of Sustainable Energy &
Environment 3 (2012) 7-17
Twelfth Five year plan-India, Sustainable growth, Economics, Social Factors—Planning Commission (GOI) 2013, Sage Publications India Ltd, New Delhi
Report of The Working Group on Power for Twelfth Plan (2012-17), GOI, MOP, New
Delhi March 2013
Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE), “Annual Report 2012-2013,”
http://mnre.gov.in/filemanager/ annual-report/2012-2013/EN/chapter5.html.
Ministry of New and Renewable Energy(MNRE), “Empowering Rural India the RE
Way: Inspiring Success Stories.2012”
NSSO—Energy Statistics 2013, Central Statistics Office, Ministry Of Statistics And
Programme Implementation (MOSPI), Government Of India, New Delhi, www.
mopsi.nic.in,
Kaundinya D.P., P. Balachandra, N.H. Ravindranath, Grid-connected versus standalone energy systems for decentralized power—A review of literature, Renewable
and Sustainable Energy Reviews 13 (2009) 2041–2050
Hiremath R.B., Bimlesh Kumar, P. Balachandra, N.H. Ravindranath, B.N. Raghunandan, Decentralized renewable energy: Scope, relevance and applications in the Indian
context, Energy for Sustainable Development 13 (2009) 4–10
International Energy Agency (IEA), 2012. Understanding Energy Challenges in India—Policies, Players and Issues, Partner Country Series Supporting Energy Access
in India, World Energy Outlook, IEA (International Energy Agency). 2012 http://
www.worldenergyoutlook.org/publications/weo
Kirsten Ulsrud, Tanja Winther, Debajit Palit, Harald Rohracher and Jonas Sandgren,
“The Solar Transitions research on solar mini-grids in India: Learning from local
cases of innovative socio-technical systems,” Energy for Sustainable Development
, no. 3 (September 2011): 293-303
Akanksha Chaureya, Tara Chandra Kandpal, Assessment and evaluation of PV based
decentralized rural electrification: An overview, Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Reviews 14 (2010) 2266–2278
Kamalapur G.D. Udaykumar R. Y., Rural Electrification in the Changing Paradigm
of Power Sector Reforms in India, International Journal of Electrical and Computer
Engineering (IJECE) Vol.2, No.2, April 2012, pp. 147~154, ISSN: 2088-8708 _ 147,
Journal homepage: http://iaesjournal.com/online/index.php/IJECE
Dinkelman, Taryn. 2011. The Effects of Rural Electrification on Employment: New
Evidence from South Africa. American Economic Review 101, no. 7:3078-3108.
Khandker, Shahidur, Hussain A. Samad, Rubaba Ali, and Douglas F. Barnes. 2012.
Who benefits most from rural electrification? Evidence in India. Policy Research Working Paper, 6095, World Bank. http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/pdf/10.1596/1813-
-6095
Barron, Manuel, and Maximo Torero. 2014. Short Term Effects of Household Electrification: Experimental Evidence from Northern El Salvador 20. Kenneth Lee, Eric Brewer, Carson Christiano, Francis Meyo, Edward Miguel, Matthew Podolsky, Javier Rosa, Catherine Wolfram, “Barriers To Electrification For
“Under Grid” Households In Rural Kenya ,” Working Paper 20327, NBER Working
Paper Series, http://www.nber.org/papers/W20327, National Bureau Of Economic
Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02138, July 2014
REC 2013 Rural Electric Corporation. www.recindia.co.in
Sanjeev H. Kulkarni, Anil T.R., “Status of Rural Electrification In India, Energy Scenario and People‘s Perception Towards Renewable Energy Technologies,” Strategic
Planning for Energy and Environment-SPEE, Taylor and Francis, TnF Online, Summer 2015, Vol. 35 Issue-01.
Kenichi Imai, Debajit Palit, Impacts of Electrification with Renewable Energies on
Local Economies: The Case of India’s Rural Areas, Working Paper Series Vol. 2013-12
Kemmler Andreas, Factors influencing household access to electricity in India. Centre
for Energy Policy and Economics (CEPE), Swiss Federal Inst of Tech. 2006.
Rockefeller Foundation, “Smart Power for Environmentally-Sound Economic Development,” August 2011, http://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/blog/speed –smart –
power -environmentally-2.
Dinesh C. Sharma, Transforming rural lives through decentralized green power, Futures 39 (2007) 583–596, www.elsevier.com/locate/futures
Debyani Ghosh, Ambuj D. Sagar and V.V.N. Kishore, “Scaling Up Biomass Gasifier
Use: An Application—Specific Approach,” Energy Policy 34, no. 13 (September 2006):
–1582.
Najmul Hoque and Barun Kumar Das, “Analysis of Cost, Energy and Emission of
Solar Home Systems in Bangladesh,” International Journal of Renewable Energy
Research 3, no. 2 (June 2013): 347-352.
Oda and Tsujita, “The determinants of rural electrification.”; Nouni et al., “Providing
electricity access to remote areas in India.”; Harish et al., “When does unreliable grid
supply become unacceptable policy?
Woodrow-Rural Energy Alternatives in India:, Opportunities in Financing and Community Engagement for Renewable Energy Microgrid Projects, Report of Princeton
University’s Woodrow Wilson School Feb 2014
M.R. Nouni, S.C. Mullick and T.C. Kandpal, “Techno-economics of micro-hydro projects for decentralized power supply in India,” Energy Policy 34, no. 10 (July 2006):
-1174.
Chaureya Akanksha, Malini Ranganathana, Parimita Mohanty, Electricity access for
geographically disadvantaged rural communities—technology and policy insights,
Energy Policy 32 (2004) 1693–1705
Central Electricity Authority CEA-2014, Executive Power Summary September2014:
http://www.cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/executive_rep/sep14.pdf
Solar on Rooftops—Cost of Solar Power in India—Over Rs 15 per KWh.” Energy
Alternatives India, July 12, 2009. http://www.eai.in/blog/2009/07/cost-of-solarpower-in-india-over-rs-15.html.
Central Electricity Authority, 2012, (CEA) Government of India, “Growth of Electricity Sector in India,” 2012.
Central Electricity Authority, 2013, (CEA) “Progress Report of Village Electrification,” 2013 October 31, http://www.cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/dpd_div_rep/village_electrification.pdf.
Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA), “Source of Lighting: 2001-2011.
Ministry of Power, Government of India(MNRE), “Rural Electrification Policy,” The
Gazette of India, 2006,http://powermin.nic.in/whats_new/pdf/RE%20Policy.pdf.
Aumnad Phdungsilp and Teeradej Wuttipornpun, Decision Support for the Selection
of Electric.
Tegou, L.I.; Polatidis, H. & Haralambopoulos, D.A. (2010). Environmental management framework for wind farm sitting: Methodology and case study. Journal of
Environmental Management, Vol. 91, pp. 2134-2147, ISSN 0301—4797
Polatidis H, Munda GV. Selecting an appropriate multi-criteria decision analysis
technique for renewable energy planning. Energy Sources 2006;1:181–93.
Pohekar SD, Ramachandran M (2004) Application of multi-criteria decision-making
to sustainable energy planning–a review. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 8:365–381
Saaty TL (1980) The analytic hierarchy process. McGraw-Hill, New York
Saaty RW (1987) The analytic hierarchy process–what it is and how it is used. Math
Model 9:161–176
Saaty TL (1996) Decision-making with dependence and feedback: the analytic network process. RSW Publications, Pittsburgh
Cheng EWL, Li H (2005) Analytic network process applied to project selection. J.
Constr Eng Manag 131:459–466
Oberschmidt J et al (2010) Modified PROMETHEE approach for assessing energy
technologies. Int J Energy Sector Management 4:183–212
Wang J–J et al (2008) A fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model for trigeneration
system. Energy Policy 36:3823–3832
Wang J-J, Jing Y-Y, Zhang C-F, Zhao J-H. Review on multi-criteria decision analysis
aid in sustainable energy decision-making. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews
;13(9):2263–78.
Wang M et al (2010) The comparison between MAUT and PROMETHEE. In: IEEE
international conference on industrial engineering and engineering management
(IEEM), 2010, pp 753–757
Greening LA, Bernow S (2004) Design of coordinated energy and environmental
policies: use of multi-criteria decision-making. Energy Policy 32:721–735
Diakoulaki D, Karangelis F (2007) Multi-criteria decision analysis and cost-benefit
analysis of alternative scenarios for the power generation sector in Greece. Renew
Sustain Energy Rev 11:716–727
Cavallaro F (2010) A comparative assessment of thin-film photovoltaic production
processes using the ELECTRE III method. Energy Policy 38:463–474
Eric W. Stein, A comprehensive multi-criteria model to rank electric energy production technologies, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 22 (2013) 640–654
Rimal Abu Taha and Tugrul Daim, Multi-Criteria Applications in Renewable Energy
Analysis, a Literature Review, Research and Technology Management in the Electricity Industry, Green Energy and Technology, DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-5097-8_2, _
Springer-Verlag London 2013
Alexandre Barin, Luciane Neves Canha, Alzenira da Rosa Abaide, Karine Faverzani Magnago, Breno Wottrich, Multicriteria Analysis of the Operation of Renewable Energy Sources taking as basis the AHP Method and Fuzzy Logic concerning
Distributed Generation Systems, The Online Journal on Electronics and Electrical
Engineering (OJEEE) Vol. (1)—No. (1) Reference Number: W09-0011 52
Y.P. Cai, et al., “Planning of community-scale renewable energy management systems
in a mixed stochastic and fuzzy environment,” Renewable Energy, vol. 34, pp. 1833-
, 2009.
Li YF et al (2010) Energy and environmental systems planning under uncertainty–an
inexact fuzzy-stochastic programming approach. Appl Energy 87:3189–3211
Kahraman C, Kaya I (2010) A fuzzy multicriteria methodology for selection among
energy alternatives. Expert Syst Appl 37:6270–6281
Beccali M (1998) Decision-making in energy planning: the ELECTRE multicriteria analysis approach compared to a FUZZY-SETS methodology. Energy Conversion
Management 39:1869–1881