Prediction of Power Equipment Emergency Repair Based on Adaptive Neural Network Fuzzy Inference Method

Authors

  • Tongtong Zhang China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China
  • Ya’nan Wang China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China
  • Yuhang Pang China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China
  • Yating Jin State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Supply Material Branch Company, Zhejiang, China
  • Jian Wu China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China
  • Junyi Li State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Supply Material Branch Company, Zhejiang, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.39411

Keywords:

Adaptive neural network, fuzzy reasoning, electrical equipment, rush repair, prediction

Abstract

If the emergency repair prediction of power equipment is only made from the perspective of historical spare parts inventory data, it cannot reflect the impact of disaster-causing elements and disaster evolution on the demand for emergency repair spare parts in the future. Therefore, this paper aims to propose a reliable power equipment emergency repair prediction method, and constructs a demand prediction method for emergency repair spare parts of power equipment based on scenario analysis. Constructing a power equipment repair system through intelligent reasoning methods to improve the efficiency of power equipment repair. This article comprehensively uses methods such as literature analysis, model inference, and case simulation verification, this paper innovatively combines the adaptive neural network fuzzy inference system with expert experience. This paper validates the superiority of the prediction method constructed in this paper through comparative analysis. The results show that with the increase of the amount of data, the prediction accuracy of the method proposed in this paper will be improved, which can provide a reference for the subsequent emergency repair prediction of power equipment.

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Author Biographies

Tongtong Zhang, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China

Tongtong Zhang graduated from University of Chinese Academy of Sciences with a Master’s degree in 2019 and joined China Electric Power Research Institute (CEPRI) in August of the same year. She is currently engaged in research on power information and communication, condition evaluation, and artificial intelligence, and has published 9 papers and 9 patents.

Ya’nan Wang, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China

Ya’nan Wang received the MS degree in communication and information system from the Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China, in 2017. In August 2017, she joined the China Electric Power Research Institute. Her research interests include power communication network simulation technology and optical transmission technology.

Yuhang Pang, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China

Yuhang Pang received Master’s degree from XJTU in 2021. Since then he has been employed by CEPRI. He has been engaged in scientific research in the field of Electric-Power Communication and its Intelligence for 3 years. He often participates in academic association activities and wins awards, and has published more than 10 papers and patents in related fields.

Yating Jin, State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Supply Material Branch Company, Zhejiang, China

Yating Jin graduated from Xi’an University of Technology, master’s degree. Since joining the State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Supply Material Branch Company in 2021, she has been committed to quality management. She is familiar with quality management tasks such as verification, supervision of production, sampling inspection, and handling of suppliers’ non-compliant behavior. She is dedicated to promoting the construction of information systems to further enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of quality management work.

Jian Wu, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, China

Jian Wu graduated from China University of Geosciences (Beijing) with a major in Information and Communication Engineering in 2017, mainly engaged in work related to power communication. During his work, he published 7 papers and 8 patents.

Junyi Li, State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Supply Material Branch Company, Zhejiang, China

Junyi Li Graduated from Shanghai University of Electric Power, Bachelor’s degree. He has been working in the power system industry for over thirty years. From electricity marketing to contract management, to material procurement, and to quality supervision, no matter which job he undertakes, he learns, specializes, and loves it. He is a “screw” that never rusts on ordinary posts, doing his job with dedication and excellence.

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Published

2024-10-28

How to Cite

Zhang, T. ., Wang, Y. ., Pang, Y. ., Jin, Y. ., Wu, J. ., & Li, J. . (2024). Prediction of Power Equipment Emergency Repair Based on Adaptive Neural Network Fuzzy Inference Method. Distributed Generation &Amp; Alternative Energy Journal, 39(04), 915–940. https://doi.org/10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.39411

Issue

Section

Renewable Power & Energy Systems