Prediction Model Integrating Attention Mechanism and BP-LSTM Algorithm for Energy Production

Authors

  • Chunxue Zhao Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China
  • Guorong Li Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China
  • Xiang Xiao Operation Area of Luliang Oilfield, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China
  • Chen Song Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China
  • Jie Yin Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.4049

Keywords:

Attention mechanism, production prediction, BP, LSTM

Abstract

Accurate prediction is crucial for optimizing production plans, improving efficiency, and reducing costs in the energy sector. This study combines a neural network production prediction model with a fusion attention mechanism for energy production. This model uses long short-term memory networks to learn historical production data, integrates back propagation, and introduces attention mechanisms. The results demonstrated that when analyzing different energy sources, the accuracy, the root mean square error, and the prediction time were 0.72, 0.07, and 1.7 seconds, respectively, for a dataset size of 1,000. The proposed model exhibits superior predictive performance across various sources. It provides a more accurate and efficient method for energy production prediction.

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Author Biographies

Chunxue Zhao, Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

Chunxue Zhao obtained a master’s degree in Electronic and Communication Engineering from China University of Petroleum (Huadong) in 2015. Currently, she serves as a senior engineer in the information field at the Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company. She has successively led or participated in more than 10 key projects at the level of group companies and oilfield companies, helping the oilfield to increase production and efficiency. At the same time, she has completed the preparation of IoT solutions for 13 oil and gas production units in Xinjiang Oilfield, and led the team to tackle technical research such as low-power narrowband communication, process collaborative simulation, and intelligent early warning for production monitoring. During her work, she has successively achieved 10 provincial and ministerial-level achievements, 5 authorized invention patents, and 8 utility models and software copyrights.

Guorong Li, Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

Guorong Li obtained a Bachelor’s degree in Mechanical and Electronic Engineering from China University of Petroleum (Beijing) in 2001. Currently, he serves as a Senior Enterprise Expert at the Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company. His main responsibilities include IoT technology research, solution formulation, project implementation, medium-to-long-term IoT planning, IoT platform construction, and digital-intelligent construction in the new energy sector for Xinjiang Oilfield. Over the past five years, he has been successively awarded the titles of Model Worker and Advanced Scientific and Technological Worker of Xinjiang Oilfield Company. He has also won the Second Prize of Technical Innovation Achievements of the Group Company and the Second Prize of Scientific and Technological Progress of the Oilfield Company. Additionally, he has obtained 2 standard specifications and software copyrights, applied for more than 12 invention patents, and published 5 papers.

Xiang Xiao, Operation Area of Luliang Oilfield, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

Xiang Xiao earned her Bachelor of Engineering degree from Guilin University of Electronic Technology in 2004. She currently serves as a II Engineer in Information Managementat the Luliang Oilfield Operation Area, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) Xinjiang Oilfield Branch. With 20 years of field experience, she possesses extensive expertise in developing software solutions that integrate industrial automation with oilfield production, including: Real-time well safety monitoring systems and Production data analytics tools. She has participated in multiple corporate-level projects and published papers in domestic journals and conference proceedings. Her research focuses on oilfield IoT applications and data modeling.

Chen Song, Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

Chen Song obtained a Bachelor’s degree in Electronic Information Engineering from North China Institute of Science and Technology in 2010. Currently, he serves as a Level 3 Engineer in the Internet of Things (IoT) field at Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company. He has led and participated in more than 10 key projects at the national, group company, and lower levels. He has successively completed the preparation of IoT solutions for 13 oil and gas production units in Xinjiang Oilfield, actively led teams in technical research on low-power narrowband communication, Beidou data transmission, OTS virtual simulation, etc. He has achieved 3 provincial and ministerial-level scientific and technological achievements and patents, with 2 authorized invention patents and 9 utility model patents.

Jie Yin, Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, Karamay 834000, China

Jie Yin graduated from Wenzhou University with a major in Mechanical Engineering in 2018. She is currently working as an engineer at Digital Intelligence Technology Company, Xinjiang Oilfield Company, mainly responsible for IoT applications and scheme formulation. Up to now, she has been in charge of more than 10 scientific research projects and the formulation of digital transformation schemes.

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Published

2025-09-25

How to Cite

Zhao, C. ., Li, G. ., Xiao, X. ., Song, C. ., & Yin, J. . (2025). Prediction Model Integrating Attention Mechanism and BP-LSTM Algorithm for Energy Production. Distributed Generation &Amp; Alternative Energy Journal, 40(04), 823–844. https://doi.org/10.13052/dgaej2156-3306.4049

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Articles