A New Generalization of the Exponentiated Fréchet Distribution with Applications
Lamya A. Baharith
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21551, Saudi Arabia
E-mail: lbaharith@kau.edu.sa
Received 16 August 2021; Accepted 09 February 2022; Publication 16 March 2022
The addition of an extra parameter to standard distributions is a common technique in statistical theory. This study introduces a new generalization of the Exponentiated Fréchet distribution named alpha power exponentiated Fréchet distribution (APEF). The APEF allows for a significant amount of versatility in modeling various data forms as it accommodates upside-down bathtubs, decreasing, and reversed-J shapes for hazard rate function. Some of the APEF’s mathematical properties are derived in close forms. The maximum likelihood technique is used to estimate the new distribution parameters. Numerical results are calculated to demonstrate the estimators’ performance. Five well-known real-life applications show the flexibility and potentiality of the APEF empirically. The APEF outperforms other competing distributions based on model selection criteria.
Keywords: Alpha Power Exponentiated Fréchet, Exponentiated Fréchet Distribution, entropy, moment.
In recent years, many statistical studies have developed different methods and techniques to introduce more flexible distributions for various types of applications by combining standard distributions or adding parameter(s) to the existing distributions; see for example [18, 13, 38, 10, 5, 6].
Recent works by [26] introduced a new useful technique that incorporates the skewness to any distribution called alpha power transformation (APT). This technique adds an extra parameter, , to base distribution, making the resulting distribution more flexible in real-life modeling data with different failure rates. Several authors employed APT to propose new distributions such as the APT-Weibull by [32], APT-inverse Lindley by [14], APT-Pareto by [20], APT-Marshall–Olkin by [33], APT-Fréchet (APF) by [31], APT-Weibull Fréchet by [15], APT-inverse Lomax by [42], APT-Gompertz by [16], APT-exponentiated Weibull-exponential by [22] and APT-Weibull—exponential by [7], among others. The cumulative distribution function (CDF) and probability density function (PDF) of an APT are defined as:
(1) | ||
(2) |
where and are the CDF and PDF of any base distribution.
The Fréchet distribution is a well-known distribution in extreme value theory due to its many applications in different spheres [23, 12]. Several researchers proposed different extension of the Fréchet distribution in order to model different types of real life applications in all fields of study. Among these, the exponentiated Fréchet (EF) [28, 29], the beta Fréchet [9], the gamma extended Fréchet [37], the Marshall-Olkin Fréchet (MO-F) [24], the transmuted exponentiated Fréchet (TEF) [17], the Kumaraswamy Fréchet [27], the Wiebull Fréchet [1], the odd Fréchet-G [19], the extended odd Fréchet-G [30], the Fréchet Topp Leone-G [34], the generalized transmuted Fréchet [36], the exponential transmuted Fréchet [35] and recently the exponentiated Fréchet-Lomax distributions [8].
The exponentiated Fréchet distribution (EF) is motivated by its attractive physical interpretation and the Fréchet’s multitude of applications, see [17, 29]. The CDF and PDF of EF distribution with shape parameters , and scale parameter are as follows:
(3) | ||
(4) |
This research aims to introduce and study a more flexible and simpler extended model of the EF called the Alpha power exponentiated Fréchet (APEF) distribution. That is, the following are the primary motives for proposing APEF in practice:
• Increase the flexibility of EF using the APT technique.
• Introduce an extended version of EF with simple and attractive expressions for a number of desirable features like moments, order statistics, and entropy.
• Provide a more suitable fit for modeling various data in many areas compared to modified competitive models.
This article is structured as follows: Section 2 presents the APEF distribution with some graphical representations. Important Expansion of the APEF density is obtained in Section 3. Section 4 investigates some of the APEF structural properties. Sections 5 and 6 provide maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of APEF parameters in addition to numerical studies. In Section 7, five applications in a variety of fields are analyzed to examine the potentiality and efficiency of the APEF distribution. Finally, conclusions are reported in Section 8.
In this section, we introduce the APEF distribution. The APEF’s PDF and CDF are obtained by substituting Equation (3) and Equation (4) in Equation (1) and Equation (2) as follows:
(5) |
and
(6) |
where , , , , .
The APEF’s Survival function, , is expressed as
(7) |
The hazard rate function, HRF, of the APEF is expressed as
(8) |
Plots of the APEF density in Equation (6) and hazard rate in Equation (8) are displayed, respectively, in Figures 1 and 2. It is observed from Figure 1 the various shapes of APEF density function as it takes decreasing, increasing, and right-skewed shapes. Additionally, as demonstrated in Figure 2, the HRF of APEF can take several shapes, including monotonically decreasing, uni-modal, and reversed j-shape. Therefore, this illustrates APEF’s considerable versatility, making it ideal for a wide range of real-world applications.
The APEF approaches several distributions such as the Fréchet, EF, inverse exponential (IE) [21], APT-Fréchet and APT-IE [11]. Table 1 shows the essential sub-models of APEF.
Table 1 Special sub-models of the APEF
b | c | Resulting Distribution | ||
Fréchet | ||||
EF | ||||
b | IE | |||
APF | ||||
b | AP-IE |
This section presents essential expansion of the APEF density to simplify the derivation of APEF structural properties. The exponential series representation for is expressed as
(9) |
Therefore, employing Equation (9) to Equation (6) for , the PDF of APEF will be
Then, by employing the following binomial series expansion
(10) |
the PDF will be
Then, the PDF of APEF can be reduced to
(11) |
where
(12) |
The following mathematical features of the APEF are investigated:
The quantile of the APEF could be expressed in the following form
(13) |
Then setting in Equation (13), the median of the APEF is
(14) |
The moment is obtained from Equation (11) as
Taking , limits will change from to , then after some simplification, we have
The moment of the APEF is expressed as
(15) |
where is defined in Equation (12). Subsequently, the mean and variance can be obtained by substituting and in Equation (15), respectively.
Therefore, based on the moment in Equation (15) of APEF, the moment generating function (mgf) is expressed as
(16) |
Substituting Equation (15) in Equation (16), will have
(17) |
where is defined in Equation (12).
Similarly, the characteristics function of APEF is easily obtained as
(18) |
where is defined in Equation (12).
The incomplete moment is considered important for many applications in various fields. Therefore, the incomplete moment of APEF is derived using Equation (11) as
Then after some simplification and using the incomplete gamma function given by
the APEF’s incomplete moment is expressed as
(19) |
If , then the mean residual life function of , , is defined as
(20) |
where
(21) |
Substituting Equation (7), Equation (15), and Equation (21) in Equation (20), then
(22) |
Similarly, the mean waiting time is
The Rényi entropy for a random variable denoted by presents a variation measure of uncertainty and is takes the following form
Then from Equation (6), will have
Applying Equation (9) to expand , then
Additionally, using Equation (10)
Therefore,
where
(24) |
By assuming , for the APEF can be expressed as
(25) |
If a random sample is obtained from APEF in Equation (11), then denotes the order statistics with the following PDF
(26) |
Inserting Equations (6) and (5) into Equation (26), will have
Applying the binomial theorem
Then, can be expressed as
(27) |
We assume that is a random sample from the APEF. Then, the log-likelihood () for is
(28) |
Then, the likelihood equations are as follows:
and
The ML estimates of and is obtained by solving the above equations simultaneously or by directly maximizing Equation (28) by non-linear optimization approach.
In this numerical study, 1000 samples with size 25, 50, 100, 200 and 500 are randomly generated from the APEF for two combinations of parameter values as follows:
• Combination1: ,
• Combination2: .
The ML estimates and mean square errors (MSEs),
are calculated to assess the performance of ML estimators.
Table 2 ML estimates and MSE for two combinations of parameter’ values
First Combination | Second Combination | ||||
Sample size | Par. | Estimate | MSE | Estimate | MSE |
0.8855 | 0.7785 | 1.5512 | 0.9403 | ||
1.3698 | 0.7105 | 4.0663 | 0.4758 | ||
5.5369 | 0.7197 | 6.1416 | 0.7804 | ||
1.3698 | 0.7105 | 0.2170 | 0.1958 | ||
0.8098 | 0.6104 | 1.5198 | 0.6157 | ||
1.9175 | 0.0745 | 3.9867 | 0.2666 | ||
5.5100 | 0.5641 | 6.0638 | 0.4366 | ||
1.2557 | 0.4910 | 0.2049 | 0.0491 | ||
0.7514 | 0.4504 | 1.5577 | 0.4427 | ||
1.9146 | 0.0535 | 3.9334 | 0.1737 | ||
5.4751 | 0.3622 | 6.0300 | 0.3126 | ||
1.2221 | 0.3288 | 0.2034 | 0.0314 | ||
0.7528 | 0.3984 | 1.4538 | 0.1859 | ||
1.2031 | 0.1489 | 3.8653 | 0.0792 | ||
5.4804 | 0.1802 | 6.1625 | 0.2228 | ||
1.2031 | 0.1489 | 0.1881 | 0.0199 | ||
0.7101 | 0.2521 | 1.4603 | 0.0450 | ||
1.9066 | 0.0496 | 3.8268 | 0.0764 | ||
5.5063 | 0.3433 | 6.1761 | 0.2017 | ||
1.2082 | 0.2393 | 0.1824 | 0.0182 |
Table 2 reports the simulation results. The results revealed that the ML technique performs effectively as the parameter estimates get closer to their true values. Additionally, the MSEs decrease as the sample size increases for both parameter combinations.
In this section, the APEF is utilized to statistically assess six well-known data sets. In particular, the fit of APEF for each of the five data sets is compared with the fits of some of its sub-models and other competitive generalization of the EF and Fréchet distributions. The CDFs of these distributions are, respectively, as follows:
• APF:
• TEF:
• Marshall-Olkin exponentiated Fréchet (MO-EF):
• MO-EF:
for and .
The following goodness-of-fit (GOF) statistics are used to evaluate APEF’s performance compared to other models: Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), corrected AIC (CAIC), Kramér-von Mises (W*), Anderson-Darling (A*), Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) and P-value statistics. The model with the shortest values of these statistics, as well as the highest P-value for the KS test, is the best. The calculations are carried out using the package fitdistrplus in the R software [40]. In addition, the fitted CDFs and PDFs of APEF and other competitive models are plotted and compared.
First data set: The first data set were taken from [39], which report the highest annual flood flows of the North Saskachevan River near Edmonton in units of 1000 cubic feet per second for a 48-year period. The data are illustrated Table 8 in the Appendix.
Second data set: The data was studied by [25] and illustrate the Mathematics grades for 48 slow-pace students in the year 2013, see Table 9 in the Appendix.
Third data set: This data present drought mortality rate and are recently studied by [3, 4]. The data report Canada COVID-19 data from 10 April to 15 May 2020 for 36 days, The data are illustrated Table 10 in the Appendix.
Fourth data set: This data corresponds to the remission months of patients suffering from bladder cancer, see [2], see Table 11 in the Appendix.
Fifth data set: This data obtained from [41] which report the survival times of 121 breast cancer patients in the period between 1929 to 1938, see Table 12 in the Appendix.
Table 3 ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for data 1
Distribution | APEF | APF | EF | TEF | MO-F | MO-EF |
Estimates | 16.132 | 122.295 | 0.099 | 0.521 | 16.671 | |
15.444 | 4.633 | 21.673 | 0.836 | 3.407 | ||
0.142 | 26.750 | 13.906 | 8.109 | 18.797 | 10.795 | |
20.447 | 154.094 | 13.155 | ||||
AIC | 437.416 | 466.474 | 443.753 | 441.738 | 440.474 | 455.488 |
CAIC | 441.159 | 469.281 | 446.560 | 445.480 | 442.878 | 459.2305 |
W* | 0.0243 | 0.4947 | 0.2970 | 0.0581 | 0.0774 | 0.4056 |
AD* | 0.1652 | 5.6861 | 1.5364 | 0.3924 | 0.5075 | 2.4708 |
KS | 0.0647 | 0.2018 | 0.1450 | 0.0860 | 0.0918 | 0.1856 |
P-value | 0.9878 | 0.0401 | 0.2644 | 0.8693 | 0.9075 | 0.0731 |
Table 4 ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for data 2
Distribution | APEF | APF | EF | TEF | MO-F | MO-EF |
Estimates | 4.5076 | 64.798 | 2.044 | -0.723 | 2.530 | |
0.628 | 1.727 | 22.760 | 1.591 | 1.739 | ||
7.501 | 8.078 | 1.049 | 0.945 | 10.862 | 3.474 | |
60.877 | 10.942 | 6.412 | ||||
AIC | 401.1407 | 403.2002 | 403.2120 | 408.3653 | 404.8800 | 401.4828 |
CAIC | 404.8831 | 406.007 | 406.0188 | 412.1077 | 407.6868 | 405.2252 |
W* | 0.0348 | 0.0639 | 0.1197 | 0.0748 | 0.0683 | 0.0361 |
AD* | 0.2537 | 0.5360 | 0.7189 | 0.8012 | 0.7112 | 0.2805 |
KS | 0.0620 | 0.0911 | 0.1195 | 0.0795 | 0.0753 | 0.0637 |
P-value | 0.9926 | 0.8201 | 0.4988 | 0.9214 | 0.9003 | 0.9899 |
Table 5 ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for data 3
Distribution | APEF | APF | EF | TEF | MO-F | MO-EF |
Estimates | 25.4200 | 22.100 | 1.964 | 0.643 | 8.612 | |
1.315 | 3.970 | 3.303 | 1.166 | 6.915 | ||
9.729 | 2.142 | 2.446 | 15.757 | 1.938 | 3.914 | |
5.146 | 7.542 | 1.625 | ||||
AIC | 102.524 | 106.0610 | 107.1282 | 103.2653 | 103.8935 | 102.6079 |
CAIC | 105.691 | 108.4363 | 109.5034 | 106.4324 | 106.2688 | 105.775 |
W* | 0.0589 | 0.1661 | 0.1925 | 0.0719 | 0.1715 | 0.0715 |
AD* | 0.3665 | 1.0178 | 1.1300 | 0.4381 | 0.9423 | 0.4211 |
KS | 0.0985 | 0.1412 | 0.1560 | 0.1029 | 0.1503 | 0.1121 |
P-value | 0.8757 | 0.4689 | 0.3448 | 0.8401 | 0.3901 | 0.7553 |
Table 6 ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for data 4
Distribution | APEF | APF | EF | TEF | MO-F | MO-EF |
Estimates | 60.757 | 18.940 | 4.320 | -0.826 | 17.497 | |
0.245 | 0.939 | 18.748 | 0.451 | 1.233 | ||
24.644 | 1.204 | 0.487 | 4.726 | 0.516 | 6.319 | |
328.959 | 14.554 | 0.456 | ||||
AIC | 827.8689 | 871.4901 | 851.3876 | 842.6851 | 855.0750 | 829.7104 |
CAIC | 833.5729 | 875.7681 | 855.6656 | 848.3892 | 859.3531 | 835.4145 |
W* | 0.0145 | 0.6410 | 0.5596 | 0.1750 | 0.4918 | 0.0315 |
AD* | 0.1312 | 4.1151 | 2.9321 | 1.1764 | 3.0411 | 0.2402 |
KS | 0.0351 | 0.1153 | 0.1185 | 0.0718 | 0.1116 | 0.0451 |
P-value | 0.9974 | 0.0665 | 0.0550 | 0.5232 | 0.0821 | 0.9563 |
Table 7 ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for data 5
Distribution | APEF | APF | EF | TEF | MO-F | MO-EF |
Estimates | 658.747 | 20.417 | 2.855 | -0.906 | 22.815 | |
0.253 | 0.833 | 59.676 | 0.611 | 1.155 | 4.640 | |
19.119 | 5.127 | 0.521 | 1.808 | 1.904 | 15.629 | |
764.733 | 17.141 | 0.502 | ||||
AIC | 1181.749 | 1252.361 | 1235.402 | 1234.778 | 1227.987 | 1183.347 |
CAIC | 1187.34 | 1256.554 | 1239.596 | 1240.37 | 1232.181 | 1188.939 |
W* | 0.1672 | 1.3575 | 1.2226 | 0.9502 | 1.0044 | 0.1930 |
AD* | 1.1800 | 8.2502 | 6.7873 | 5.7262 | 6.2280 | 1.2830 |
KS | 0.1086 | 0.1724 | 0.1748 | 0.1506 | 0.1446 | 0.1111 |
P-value | 0.1147 | 0.0014 | 0.0012 | 0.0082 | 0.0126 | 0.1007 |
Tables 3–7 report the ML estimation and associated GOF statistics for each model. It can be observed that the GOF statistics are lower for APEF compared to other competitive models, and hence it provides a better fit for all five data sets. Moreover, the promising performance of APEF can be visually seen in Figures 3–7 as its estimated fits for the five data sets are closer to their empirical CDFs and PDFs.
This article proposed a new generalization of EF distribution using APT named Alpha power exponentiated Fréchet distribution. The APEF provides high flexibility, especially for modeling skewed data in different fields. Explicit expressions of various mathematical properties of APEF such as quantile, median, moments, incomplete moments, mean residual life, order statistics, and entropy are derived. The performance of APEF is examined via simulation and Five real-life applications in different fields, which demonstrate its usefulness and great flexibility. Application results indicate that the APEF distribution consistently provides appropriate fit and outperformed other extended forms of the exponentiated Fréchet and Fréchet distributions.
The authors would like to thank to the editor and all of the referees for their thoughtful comments, which have helped to improve the manuscript.
Table 8 List of Data set I
19.885 | 20.940 | 21.820 | 23.700 | 24.888 | 25.460 | 25.760 | 26.720 | 27.500 | 28.100 |
28.600 | 30.200 | 30.380 | 31.500 | 32.600 | 32.680 | 34.400 | 35.347 | 35.700 | 38.100 |
39.020 | 39.200 | 40.000 | 40.400 | 40.400 | 42.250 | 44.020 | 44.730 | 44.900 | 46.300 |
50.330 | 51.442 | 57.220 | 58.700 | 58.800 | 61.200 | 61.740 | 65.440 | 65.597 | 66.000 |
74.100 | 75.800 | 84.100 | 106.600 | 109.700 | 121.970 | 121.970 | 185.560 |
Table 9 List of Data set II
29 | 25 | 50 | 15 | 13 | 27 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 21 | 15 |
86 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 44 | 6 | 23 | 58 | 19 | 50 | 23 | 11 | 6 |
34 | 18 | 28 | 34 | 12 | 37 | 4 | 60 | 20 | 23 | 40 | 65 | 19 | 31 |
Table 10 List of Data set III
3.1091 | 3.3825 | 3.1444 | 3.2135 | 2.4946 | 3.5146 | 4.9274 | 3.3769 | 6.8686 | 3.0914 | 4.9378 |
3.1091 | 3.2823 | 3.8594 | 4.0480 | 4.1685 | 3.6426 | 3.2110 | 2.8636 | 3.2218 | 2.9078 | 3.6346 |
2.7957 | 4.2781 | 4.2202 | 1.5157 | 2.6029 | 3.3592 | 2.8349 | 3.1348 | 2.5261 | 1.5806 | 2.7704 |
2.1901 | 2.4141 | 1.9048 |
Table 11 List of Data set IV
0.08 | 2.09 | 3.48 | 4.87 | 6.94 | 8.66 | 13.11 | 23.63 | 0.20 | 2.23 | 3.52 | 4.98 | 6.97 |
9.02 | 13.29 | 0.40 | 2.26 | 3.57 | 5.06 | 7.09 | 9.22 | 13.80 | 25.74 | 0.50 | 2.46 | 3.64 |
5.09 | 7.26 | 9.47 | 14.24 | 25.82 | 0.51 | 2.54 | 3.70 | 5.17 | 7.28 | 9.74 | 14.76 | 26.31 |
0.81 | 2.62 | 3.82 | 5.32 | 7.32 | 10.06 | 14.77 | 32.15 | 2.64 | 3.88 | 5.32 | 7.39 | 10.34 |
14.83 | 34.26 | 0.90 | 2.69 | 4.18 | 5.34 | 7.59 | 10.66 | 15.96 | 36.66 | 1.05 | 2.69 | 4.23 |
5.41 | 7.62 | 10.75 | 16.62 | 43.01 | 1.19 | 2.75 | 4.26 | 5.41 | 7.63 | 17.12 | 46.12 | 1.26 |
2.83 | 4.33 | 5.49 | 7.66 | 11.25 | 17.14 | 79.05 | 1.35 | 2.87 | 5.62 | 7.87 | 11.64 | 17.36 |
1.40 | 3.02 | 4.34 | 5.71 | 7.93 | 11.79 | 18.10 | 1.46 | 4.40 | 5.85 | 8.26 | 11.98 | 19.13 |
1.76 | 3.25 | 4.50 | 6.25 | 8.37 | 12.02 | 2.02 | 3.31 | 4.51 | 6.54 | 8.53 | 12.03 | 20.28 |
2.02 | 3.36 | 6.76 | 12.07 | 21.73 | 2.07 | 3.36 | 6.93 | 8.65 | 12.63 | 22.69 |
Table 12 List of Data set V
0.3 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 8.4 |
10.3 | 11.0 | 11.8 | 12.2 | 12.3 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 16.2 | 16.3 |
16.5 | 16.8 | 17.2 | 17.3 | 17.5 | 17.9 | 19.8 | 20.4 | 20.9 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.1 | 23.0 |
23.4 | 23.6 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 27.9 | 28.2 | 29.1 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
37.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 |
41.0 | 42.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 44.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 47.0 | 48.0 | 49.0 |
51.0 | 51.0 | 51.0 | 52.0 | 54.0 | 55.0 | 56.0 | 57.0 | 58.0 | 59.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
61.0 | 62.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 | 67.0 | 67.0 | 68.0 | 69.0 | 78.0 | 80.0 | 83.0 | 88.0 | 89.0 |
90.0 | 93.0 | 96.0 | 103.0 | 105.0 | 109.0 | 109.0 | 111.0 | 115.0 | 117.0 | 125.0 | 126.0 | 127.0 |
129.0 | 129.0 | 139.0 | 154.0 |
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Lamya A. Baharith is currently working as a Associate Professor at Department of Statistics, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. She has contributed to various fields of Statistics through several research publications in different national and international journals of repute. She has also successfully completed some research projects in the field of Statistics.
Journal of Reliability and Statistical Studies, Vol. 15, Issue 1 (2022), 129–152.
doi: 10.13052/jrss0974-8024.1516
© 2022 River Publishers