In-Between Landscape Transformations and Tourism Development: Investigating Latent Trends in Long-term Wildfires’ Patterns, Greece (1955–2024)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.13052/jrss0974-8024.1928Keywords:
Fire size, Time pattern, Land-use, Correlation, MediterraneanAbstract
Global environmental change has increasingly reshaped wildfire dynamics resulting in heightened ecological and socioeconomic risks worldwide. While fire suppression and technical prevention remain central to wildfire and landscape management, broader land-use and governance frameworks are recognized as influential determinants of fire impacts at landscape scales. The present study investigates a long-time series (1955–2024) of wildfire basic indicators (burnt area, fire density, average fire size) with the final aim at deriving latent information clarifying change processes associated with climatic stressors, land-use change, and rapidly evolving socioeconomic conditions in Greece, a Mediterranean country with specific land-use trajectories, social dynamics, economic performances, and governance-related factors. Using an empirical approach based on multivariate statistics, this study evaluates the relative contribution of temporal variability in wildfire pattern as an indirect reflection of anthropogenic pressure. In this perspective, insights from existing literature and field-based observations are integrated to support interpretation of the quantitative results based on official statistics and landscape analysis. Wildfire risk seems to grow in the recent decades, both for fire size and frequency. These results underscore the relevance of integrated landscape management policies safeguarding agroforestry systems, and cross-sectoral measures fostering resilient and functional Mediterranean landscapes.
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